- If you’re feeling sleepy: simply look up. Triggers certain parts of the brain for wakefulness. Chin up, eyes toward the sun (even if indoors). Allow light in.
- My DC30 rise garden pump died. Water level was too low. Replaced with DC40 (don’t plug into the control board, although it fits; use the separate power supply). They don’t sell the DC30 any more, it appears. Just use the DC40 models from now on. 400L/hr. The DC40 pumps have an autoshutoff feature too and can detect if they’re running dry.
- Chess24’s Champions Chess Tour (Meltwater) started its final major today, the last event on this year’s tour.
- Aquarium maintenance, refilled autofeeder, emptied reagent waste, etc.
- Called BoA business to check on the rewards program, since the online interface doesn’t show anything useful (unlike chase/amex/others). Was another mess of operator transfers and nobody knowing anything. On hold for over an hour. Crazy that this isn’t just a single “here is your rewards status” page. After talking to multiple people, got 0 answers. That, plus the fact that they don’t have autopay (!!!) – do not business bank with BoA.
- Moulin Rouge’s Come What May (2001) was originally written for Romeo and Juliet. That “you can tell everybody” hook is also recognizable from Aloe Blacc’s song The Man (2013), which sampled it from the original Elton John Your Song (1970).
- Google Workspace obviously has gmail/meet/chat/calendar/drive/docs/sheets/slides/forms/keep. But here are some more you may not have known: sites (like squarespace, no-code websites), drawings (diagrams, charts), jamboard (freeform whiteboard).
- iPhone really doesn’t want you to use another browser besides Safari. You have to go to the restriction settings and disallow it. Settings -> Screen Time -> Content and Privacy Restrictions -> Allowed Apps -> disable Safari.
- More news coming out about FTX’ balance sheet. Not just that FTT made up a huge chunk of assets (and…cannot be used to pay out liabilities since it’s the same as FTX), but they did the exact same thing with SRM too (serum, basically the dex protocol underneath, created by FTX). FTX got billions of customer money. And they didn’t use it obtain assets (FTT and SRM are free to FTX, they created those tokens). Instead, they gave the money to Alameda, who lost it on bad trading strategies. So the money is gone, the assets on the FTX balance sheet because worthless once exposed, and the death spiral killed FTX. Not too dissimilar to TERRA/LUNA.
- Deepdived equitybee.
- Remember law firm hierarchies: associates -> partners. Managing Partner is the top, associates can be junior/senior, etc.
- Lots of private work.
- Ordered a few more liveaquaria: green bubbletip anemone, yellow/purple wrasse, maxima clam, cerith snails, sleeper blue dot goby. $55 for dead tiger watchman last time, $14 rewards, $35 15FISHY (15% off). Saved ~100 total, would have been ~250.
- Supercontest. Ran an analysis for how close Vegas is at setting lines.
- This dataset is from >1k games, from 5 seasons 2018-2022.
select avg(favored_team_score-underdog_team_score-line) from scores join lines on scores.line_id=lines.id where status='F' or status='FO';- This yields how far off they were (remember line is always positive in the db, favoring the favored team). After comparing to the score diff (favorite-underdog), -1 means they set the line 1 point too high.
- -0.425. So they historically they set the line about a half point TOO much for the favored team. Hence the reason the underdog is a slightly better pick, statistically.
- Taking abs of that difference above to simply get the total accuracy, the result is 9.95. This is how far off they are, in either direction, on the average setting of line. In the first calculation, being 3 points too low for one line and being 3 points too high for another means your avg is 0. But in reality, you were off by 3 for both.
- Fun fact: worse miss was 45. Patriots/chargers, 2020-12-06. Line was pickem (0). The pats won 45-0.
- The biggest upset in the other direction (-40) was Falcons/raiders 2020-11-29. Line was raiders by 3. Falcons won 43-6.