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- Investing behaviors.
- Loss aversion: the negative emotion around a loss is ~2x as strong as the positive around a gain.
- Anchoring: your initial experience with something (an asset) will be weighted much more heavily than any subsequent interaction.
- Endowment effect: value is perceived higher for stuff already in your portfolio.
- Ensured that the updraftplus wordpress backup was working properly.
- Added the second droplet to the existing alert policies (disk and mem and cpu). All above 90% for 5m.
- Modeling the market is really about modeling people. Taking advantage of predictable human behavior. At least that was the case for the last few decades. Now that trading is overwhelmingly automatic, I’m curious how the models will retain alphas in the years to come.
- In general, it’s simply about finding signal and backtesting to the point of confident repetition. You don’t need something with 90% success, you need to find a reliable 51% probability (like a casino).
- Of particular relevance to me right now: in the 2008 decline, most hedge funds lost in the ~10%s, whereas S&P was in the 30%s. Some funds even had positive returns.
- Robinhood reached out with open software engineering positions. Little late.
- Looked at making a group listserv for sbsc so people could subscribe/unsub on their own. Gmail doesn’t have a great option for native groups like outlook.
- Youtube had 15b revenue in 2019 (more than all major tv networks combined). Google cloud products brought 9b.
- Netflix prep call. Let Disney know.
- TSLA hit $960 at one point today, almost +25%. What is happening.
- Made 12 egg/bacon/avocado breakfast sandwiches for the week, as well as sweet potato homefries.
- Bought a 10lb pork belly and started the cure. Will probably only have time for ~1wk in the brine before smoking/slicing.
- Started reading a bit of Sam Harris. Sharp mind.